Lettuce Prices Explained

In 2025, global lettuce prices have shown mixed trends. Wholesale prices for lettuce leaves ranged from $0.75 to $3.33 per kilogram or $0.34 to $1.51 per pound over the past month.

In the U.S., the retail price for romaine lettuce was about $2.99 per pound in May 2025, rising from $2.83 in January. However, in California’s Salinas Valley, a major production area, prices per 12-count carton averaged $14.55. This is about 50% lower than the $27 recorded last year and below the five-year average of $23.

Price differences are due to local supply conditions. In some areas, weather and labor problems have reduced supply, increasing prices. In contrast, high production levels in major U.S. regions have lowered prices in other markets.

Why are Lettuce Prices Fluctuating?

1. Seasonal Supply Swings & Weather

Lettuce grows best in cool weather. Hotter seasons and rain, especially in spring, can reduce crop size and weight. Quality stays mostly good.

2. Labor & Compliance Costs

Growers must follow production rules, especially in areas like California’s Salinas Valley. These rules can cost up to $1,600 per acre, about 12% of total production costs. Labor shortages and rising wages add more pressure.

3. Fuel & Transportation Costs

Fuel prices affect shipping. When fuel costs rise, retail lettuce prices often increase.

4. Retail Demand Patterns

More people are buying lettuce for salads and packaged meals. High supply in some regions has helped ease prices slightly.

5. Macro Vegetable Price Trends

The USDA expects fresh vegetable prices to fall by 2.5% in 2025. Lettuce prices may drop about 6.2% compared to last year.

Which Variables Impact the Price of Lettuce?

• Seasonal Supply & Weather
• Labor & Compliance Costs
• Fuel & Transportation Costs
• Consumer Demand
• Broader Fresh Vegetables Price Trends

Where Does Lettuce Come From?

Lettuce is a leafy vegetable first grown in the Mediterranean. Egyptians and Romans likely grew it before it spread globally.

In 2023, global production reached about 28 million tonnes. China produced around 53% of this total. Other leading producers were the United States, Spain, and India.

Lettuce grows well in cool climates between 16 and 24 °C. It prefers moist, well-drained soil. It contains about 95% water. Common types include romaine, iceberg, leaf, and butterhead.

What are the Uses of Lettuce?

1. Fresh Salads – The most recognized use. Lettuce forms the base of most fresh and packaged salads. Its crisp texture and neutral flavor make it a versatile choice.

2.  Sandwiches & Wraps – Romaine, green leaf, and butterhead lettuce add crunch and a fresh bite, making meals more enjoyable. 

3. Pre‑packaged Salad Kits – Popular in grocery stores, these kits rely on lettuce as the main component, helping meet the demand for quick, healthy options.

4. Hydroponic/Indoor Farming – Lettuce grows well in controlled environments, making it a top crop in vertical farms that supply local markets.

5. Juices & Smoothies – Leafy, antioxidant content makes it a healthy drink additive without overpowering flavor.

6. Seed & Oil Production – Lettuce seeds are used globally for planting and oil extraction. By 2025, the lettuce seed market is expected to exceed USD $7 billion.

What is the Future Price of Lettuce?

Lettuce prices are expected to drop slightly through 2025, followed by a period of stability with only small price changes through 2030. This forecast is based on expected changes in supply, demand, and production methods, supported by USDA and industry data.

The USDA projects a 2.5% drop in fresh vegetable prices in 2025. Lettuce prices are expected to fall by about 6.2% compared to the previous year. This reflects weaker price pressure after gains earlier in the year.

From 2027 to 2030, exact price forecasts are not available. However, long-term estimates suggest stable prices. This is due to more use of greenhouse and hydroponic farming, even as input and regulatory costs increase.

Industry sources estimate the following average U.S. retail prices for romaine lettuce:

• 2027: $2.70–3.10/lb
• 2028: $2.60–3.00/lb
• 2029: $2.50–2.90/lb
• 2030: $2.40–2.80/lb

These figures reflect anticipated improvements in yield and supply efficiency, offset by upward pressure from labor, fuel, environmental regulation, and climate variability.